Both the Miami Herald and South Florida Sun-Sentinel discuss rumors the Heat could trade down in the lottery, as they don't seem entirely sweet on Michael Beasley. Strangely, both papers press Memphis at #5 as the best option, with some hefty contracts and Kyle Lowry predicted to change hands.

The real question is, for me: will O.J. Mayo still be around at #5? Word has been over the last few weeks that Mayo's the guy Pat Riley wants. If Derrick Rose and Beasley go 1-2, what does Minnesota do? Brook Lopez was the first-guess choice there, given the lack of an able center in Minneapolis. But Lopez has been said to be slipping. You wouldn't think Jerryd Bayless or Mayo would make sense there, given the presence of Randy Foye and Rashad McCants, both of whom Kevin McHale seems to believe in. Does Kevin Love actually go this high? Small forward's a huge need -- is Danilo Gallinari on option?

Seattle's less of a wildcard -- folks still suspect Bayless here, and I think the idea Sam Presti would trade down to pick up extra cheap assets is valid. Mayo seems rather unlikely to go to Seattle in any case, given Kevin Durant's padlock on shot attempts.

So there's the risk Miami would have to take if they, in fact, want to trade down to take O.J. Mayo. It seems likely he'd be around ... but if the move has been telegraphed this far in advance by two different papers, how hard would it be for someone like Presti to figure it out and throw a wrench to get himself another concession?