After losing Baron Davis and losing out on Elton Brand, most pundits have quickly assumed the Warriors would stay true to their lottery roots for the immediate future. Chris Mullin insists he'll be able to keep restricted free agents Monta Ellis and Andris Biedrins, and the likelihood of the Lakers matching Ronny Turiaf's offer sheet looks smaller and smaller each day. Corey Maggette is in town, and Don Nelson has been saying Ellis will be able to play point full-time for the Dubs.

Could this team actually be pretty good?

If preseason prognostications are iffy, ones made in the middle of July are downright laughable. But hear me out. Davis was an elite point guard -- a potent scorer, an efficient ball-handler, a strong rebounder, and a good passer. His shooting, though, is suspect. Ellis is also a strong rebounder, he cut his turnovers way down last season, and he's almost as potent a scorer as Davis already, at age 22. While Ellis doesn't and probably will not rack up assists, he's a much more efficient shooter. He boasts no range but realizes this and refuses the three ... unlike Davis, who despite mediocre three-point shooting percentages his entire career still took a third of his shots from deep last year.

The central question that will decide the immediate success of the Warriors: do the other players need a point guard to set them up? Maggette is already a firm 'no.' He played with some unholy combination of Brevin Knight and decrepit Sam Cassell last year, and had some of the best scoring and shooting numbers of his already-strong career. Stephen Jackson's basically a point-forward who has little trouble creating.

Biedrins could use some inside dishes, but currently gets most of his production on clean-up duty. No one knows who will get the heavy minutes at power forward -- Al Harrington could be shipped out, Brandan Wright may or may not be ready, Turiaf figures to be a bench player.

Losing Davis hurts, because he combined with Ellis created one of the most potent backcourts in the league. But the quality of the new Warriors could surprise you. Depending on the rest of the West, Golden State could still threaten playoff contention.