That Atlanta retains the domestic rights to new Euroleague star Josh Childress has been discussed. Basically, if Chills comes back to the States next summer, he is still a restricted free agent of the Hawks. If he signs an offer sheet with another NBA team, Atlanta can match. The situation remains the same for two seasons.This is a boon to Atlanta, right? Maybe not. Carrying the rights to a restricted free agent comes with a burden: the associated cap hold. The cap hold is a mechanism of the NBA's collective bargaining agreement which prevents a team from subverting the salary cap by signing outside free agents before re-signing their own. It's pretty complicated, and Larry Coon explains it with more clarity than you'll ever find under my byline. If you need the details, read them there.
Here's what matters for Atlanta: Childress carries a cap hold of $14.5 million. Assuming the Hawks can manage to retain Josh Smith for about $10 million a year, Atlanta figures to be about $20 million under the salary cap next summer. (Mike Bibby and Zaza Pachulia are coming off the books.) That can buy a mighty fine free agent. But unless Atlanta renounces its rights to Childress -- meaning Chills would no longer be a restricted free agent, he could sign with any NBA team and the Hawks wouldn't have matching rights -- $14.5 million of that cap space will be locked up in that cap hold. That means Atlanta would have only roughly $5.5 million of space, and that's less than the mid-level exception. The Hawks would then have no cap space, and would be in the same boat as 85% of the NBA.
If the Hawks had overpaid Childress with, say, an $8 million annual contract, they would be able to go get a $12 million player in free agency next year ... and they'd have Childress's production! Instead, nothing and nothing. Good work, Sund.
Comments (Page 1 of 1)
Seems like Atlanta is in a pickle. If they don't resign Childress, they won't be able to sign a major free-agent, either. If they resign Childress, they'll probably severely overpay him.
I guess all they can do is hope he wants to sign with some other team back in the states.
Childress will not screw the Hawks next summer. I'll try to break it down as best I can, using salary and salary rules out there on the interwebs:
Summer of 2009 for Hawks (rounding approximations)
Assuming anyone signed this year is renounced at year end:
Joe Johnson - $15 million
Speedy Claxton - $5.2 million
Al Horford - $4.3 million
Acie Law - $2.2 million
Josh Smith (guess) - $10 million (if unsigned this summer, cap hold is $9.4M)
Marvin Williams cap hold - $14 million (possibly $17 million)
Zaza Pachulia cap hold - $8 million
Mike Bibby cap hold - $20 million (35% of guessing $58M cap)
2009 1st rd pick (say at #10) - $2.2 million
Josh Childress cap hold - $14.5 million
That's 10 players, but you need at least 12, so as a placeholder you put in 2 rookie minimums: 2 x $0.5 million (actually $457,588)
That comes to a Hawks summer cap number of $96.4 million, which will definitely be over the cap. Say you renounce Bibby and Pachulia (pick up to mins.), that's $69.4M. Renounce Childress (-$14.5+.5), you're at $55.4M, which will probably be less than the MLE away from the salary cap.
So no Childress does not hurt them next summer. In fact, next year he could be valuable in a sign and trade if he wants to come back stateside but just not with the Hawks.