
The Rotation is a weekly study on the NBA by one of our All-Star voices. In rotation this week is Brett Pollakoff.
With just six weeks left in the grind that is the NBA's regular season, it's time to start having the MVP conversation. LeBron James and Kobe Bryant will likely be the first two names mentioned when this hotly debated topic is brought up, but they shouldn't be -- not this season. If you've been paying attention, Dwyane Wade is the league's most valuable player, and it's really not even that close.
Of course, any MVP discussion is highly subjective, and before you start choosing sides, you have to define what the award is going to be. Most of the time -- and with few exceptions -- the voters have decided that the trophy goes to the best player on one of the top two teams in the league during the regular season.
That's the way it's been for some time, and things aren't likely to change this year. But by looking at it that way, we're really taking the "value" part out of the equation, aren't we?
What really should define an MVP is a player's value to his team. As in, take a look at the player's all-around performance, look at his supporting cast to see how much help he's getting, then see where the team is in the standings and then determine how different things would be if the player we're talking about wasn't a piece of that puzzle.
If you look at it that way, Dwyane Wade has to be your clear-cut choice.
The Heat right now sit at the five spot in the East, three games above .500 and just two-and-a-half games behind the up and down Atlanta Hawks. The top three seeds in the conference were locked in a long time ago, but it's not out of the realm of possibility that Miami could overtake Atlanta for fourth, and thus have home-court advantage for the first round of the playoffs.
Let me say that again: the Miami Heat could host a first-round playoff series.
Looking back at preseason projections, most people didn't even have the Heat making the playoffs at all, much less finishing as high as fourth; the brain trust at the Worldwide Leader had an average prediction of Miami finishing no higher than ninth. The reason the team is in the playoff mix is solely due to the play of Wade, because his supporting cast just hasn't been, well, all that supportive.
Besides the fact that no player on the Heat (Wade excepted) averages more than a few decimal points above 13 points, eight rebounds, or four assists per game, the inconsistent lineups that Wade has been forced to play with this season make Miami's current playoff position that much more impressive.
Due to a combination of injuries, trades, or just plain trial and error on the part of the coaching staff, the Heat have had players like Yakouba Diawara and Michael Beasley in the starting lineup for 15 games each, and Joel Anthony in there for 28 games. Beasley's a rookie and has been OK in stretches, but Diawara and Anthony don't do much more than take up space.
Oh, and then there was the mid-season trade that swapped Shawn Marion for Jermaine O'Neal.
Most people believed Marion would be gone before the end of the season given his contract situation, and O'Neal appears to be a slight upgrade and a better fit for what the Heat's needs are. But it's extremely difficult to try and get new players (especially starters) acclimated to a new team and a new system some 52 games into the season, and Miami's 3-4 record since the trade is reflective of that.
Dwyane Wade knows this perhaps better than anyone, which is probably why he's raised his game to an even higher level since the trade was made.
Over his last seven games, Wade has been simply off the charts. He's averaged almost 36 points and 10 assists per game during that stretch, including dropping career-highs in those two categories (50 points vs. Orlando on Feb. 22, 16 assists vs. Detroit on Feb. 24) in consecutive games. And, Wade has gone for more than 41 points in each of his last two games.
I don't want to give you the impression that Wade's dominance has been a recent phenomenon, however, because the fact is, he's been a monster all season long. Wade leads the league in scoring (at 29.2 points per game), is ninth in the league in assists (7.4), second in steals (2.79), and (as discovered by our own Tom Ziller) is on pace to break the record for most blocked shots by a player 6'4" or shorter in a season. Obscure, maybe. But awesome, undoubtedly. And it shows just how much Wade is doing in every single facet of the game to carry his team to the playoffs.
Now, the case for Wade has been made, but it probably would be much more difficult to make the case against either of his two likely competitors for the award. That's because they are, by most accounts, the two best basketball players in the entire world -- so I'm not really going to try. But I will give you a comparison of what LeBron James and Kobe Bryant have done this season, just to point out how stellar Wade has truly been in a league-wide context.

Kobe might (MIGHT) have been overtaken by LeBron this year as the consensus "best player in the league," but that doesn't mean he still can't bring it when he wants to. His 61 points in New York earlier this season were amazing, and as recently as Sunday he scored 49 points and grabbed 11 rebounds against the Suns, which included a stretch of less than five minutes in the third quarter where he scored 17 points. Bryant (28.0 ppg) is a close third in the league scoring race behind Wade and James, and his rebounding (5.6 rpg) is right there with what Wade is doing this season.
But Bryant is playing on a stacked Lakers team. Think about it: a Lakers club with Pau Gasol, Lamar Odom, and a healthy Andrew Bynum would likely sneak into the playoffs without one of the best players in the world anyway; with Kobe, they're the heavy favorites at this point to win the championship (or at least reach the Finals). Could Kobe Bryant do everything that Wade is doing and drag a less talented team to the playoffs by himself? Certainly, and he did exactly that in 2006. We know that Bryant is capable of doing this, but he doesn't need to this season, and the bottom line is, he hasn't done so.
The same can be said for LeBron James.
There aren't really words to describe just how great LeBron has been this season. He has his Cavaliers at the top of the Eastern Conference standings, and has been statistically every bit as impressive as Wade -- at least offensively. LeBron is second in the league in scoring, merely seven-tenths of a point behind Wade, per game, (28.5) for the season. He averages virtually an identical amount of assists per game (7.0), and being more of a physical beast than Wade is, James averages a couple more rebounds per game than Wade manages to (7.3).
But Wade has him beat in steals and blocks, which again, is a testament to his value to his team. See, LeBron has people like Zydrunas Ilgauskas to rebound, Anderson Varejao to block shots, and (now healthy) Delonte West to help out with the steals. And let's not forget too that James has another All-Star on the team (even though it took him a while to get there) in Mo Williams, who just happened to drop 30 the other night when the Heat and the Cavs went head-to-head.
No one on the Heat is going for 30 besides Dwyane Wade, period.
It's not that Lebron couldn't be as good as Wade has been this season, and in fact, I'm pretty sure that he could be even better. But the reality is, he doesn't need to be that dominant in every single category because James has so much more help than Wade does -- and the same is true for Bryant.
If you want to give the MVP award to the best player in the game, then this season, LeBron James is your man. But if we're truly looking for the player who is the most valuable, the guy who's just killing it in every statistical category on both offense and defense, and without whom his team would likely finish dead last in the Eastern Conference, then Dwyane Wade is the easy choice for league MVP this season. And it's really not even close.










Reader Comments (Page 1 of 3)
3-03-2009 @ 3:30PM
MenoRikey said...
If Wade is the MVP this year, then Lebron should have been the MVP last year. Lebron had no one (just like Wade) for most of the year and the Cavs still made it to the playoffs. Wade won't win because of the Heat's record, fair or not.
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 3:31PM
kmgolf said...
Not a bad read. I assume you believe LBJ should have got the MVP at least once by now?
I also believe the low preseason projections for the Heat partially revolved around being unsure of Wade's comeback and ability to lead them. In other words, the low preseason projection was as much about Wade as the team.
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 3:34PM
LADubbz45 said...
KOBE BABY!
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 3:39PM
cahillio said...
i just hope the last couple of years you have been pimping lebron for this award, cause by the logic you just presented in this article its lebron before this year. That team isnt even IN cleveland, let alone a title contender without that guy until they got mo williams..
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 4:05PM
mrbicx said...
Of course, with no one else to pass to to score, D Wade's numbers are up over where they would be if he had teammates. That undercuts his true value, rather than raising it. It is also why teams that win get the MVP's. It is the MVP of the LEAGUE, not the team.
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 4:37PM
steveo said...
complete and utter garbage.
Wade isn't doing anything this year that Lebron hasn't been doing for the past 4 seasons.
and he still doesn't have an MVP
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 4:16PM
Alex said...
I don't know... Wade only is averaging 0.5 SPG more and 0.2 BPG more than LeBron, and is doing it with slightly more time played per game. LeBron also has Wade slightly in FG%, FT%, and is 5% better as a 3 point shooter this season.
The argument was made last year that LeBron and Kobe were so close, but Kobe had a better supporting cast, so LeBron should have won. But, that wasn't the way it worked out. I don't see why this same argument would work any better this year.
It's close, but I think LeBron deserves it just slightly more.
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 4:21PM
Tom said...
Brett has some great arguments, but to me LBJ is producing more for a better team. The Cavs outside of LeBron aren't really that much better than the Heat outside of Wade. (They are, but it's not anything like, say, the Lakers minus Kobe versus the Cavs minus Bron.)
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 4:39PM
David said...
I agree with Pollakoff that Dwyane Wade is going to be the MVP simple for this reason...what does Wade have that LeBron and Kobe do not? That's right! An NBA Finals MVP. Wade has been getting the job done for the Heat just as much as LeBron has for the Cavs since they've been drafted. Wade has been pretty much carrying the Heat just as LeBron has his whole career towards success, but is more lower on the radar because he isn't as big of a blimp on the media radar as LeBron is. Heck, according to the media, Wade is on the outside looking in between Kobe and LeBron when it is really Wade vs. LeBron right now. I mean how many Laker games were there this year when Kobe only scores 18 and the Lakers win by 20? I will end this by referring to last night's game. Final: 107-100 Cavs, Wade 41 pts. 7 steals(career high)9 assists, 7 rebounds. LeBron 42 pts. 8 rebounds, 4 assists
2nd Highest Scorer
Cavs: Mo Williams, 30
Heat: Jermaine O'Neal, 16
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 4:47PM
David said...
One more thing. If Dwyane Wade is able to lead the Heat to the 4th seed and home court in the playoffs, he deserves the MVP. If they do not clinch home court, it should get given to LeBron be default. Sorry Kobe
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 4:53PM
dwald31566 said...
Lebron has his team on such a great pace his stats are hurting because he has sat more 4th quarters than any other superstar in the league. Look at his time on the bench because he has propelled his team into a large lead. Look at Cleveland's stats in score differences between them and opponents. Look at Cleveland's difficult games and how he hoists the team on his back and wins the game as he did against Wade and Miami on March2.
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 5:26PM
Jay (Houston) said...
Wade and Bron have played 59 games. Wade averages more time per game than LeBron... by 0.8 minutes.
0.8 minutes = 48 seconds
Wow! LeBron has sat out more 4th quarters? The stats don't really add up to show that.
Wade = 38.3 minutes/game
Bron = 37.5 minutes/game
3-03-2009 @ 5:01PM
d57fan said...
I agree with most of this article and it's a good argument for Wade, but given that it's debatable and that LeBron has not won yet (he should have won the year he brought his team to the finals single-handedly) I would be comfortable with either player getting it. Really, it should be a tie.
Shows how ridiculous it is that Bosh is mentioned in the same sentence as these guys all the time because of 2010...unlike Wade and LeBron (2 years ago), Bosh came into the season with a team that was actually expected to do well but helped run it into the ground with an obvious inability to come through in the clutch and malignant passivity...while Bosh wilts and fades Wade and Lebron get into another gear and go to WORK...
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 5:20PM
whoisdarr said...
If anything you can say Wade and Lebron tie for MVP, because Wade is basically doing what Lebron did last year. Though I doubt that Miami could even make the Eastern Conference Finals like the Cavs did last year. The reason Lebron wins is because he he has corrected the one area that cost him the MVP last year, his team's record (could possible add in his defensive abilities). Are you really going to tell me that after almost winning last year's MVP, then fixing the flaws held against him last year, that Wade is now the MVP?
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 5:59PM
tetrarquin said...
THIS HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH THE NBA...HOW COME ESPN HAS SUCH MORONS FOR ANNOUNCERS????
TYPICAL ESPN ANNOUNCER..NOTRE DAME LOSING TO VILLANOVA BY FIFTEEN (15!!) POINTS WITH 1 MINUTE and 45 SECONDS LEFT IN THE GAME. VILLANOVA AT THE FOUL LINE..ANNOUNCER SAYS YOU DONT WANT TO TAKE ANYTHING FOR GRANTED IF YOURE VILLANOVA WITH THE WAY NOTRE DAME SHOOTS 3 POINTERS!!! LESS THAN 2 MINUTES AND NOTRE DAME HAS A CHANCE TO COME BACK FROM 15 DOWN??WHO HIRES THIS STUPID ANNOUNCERS?
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 6:12PM
jerry said...
Wade is much better and will win the MVP award. Lebron James and Kobe Bryant are good to but I think Wade will get MVP. HE ROCKS much more also.
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 6:14PM
tjmjmjmj said...
david it looks like you like to list stats of last nights game. How about these 3 stats. Wade 30 shots LB 21 shots. Wade 8 turnovers. Miami loses
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 6:36PM
Butch said...
All the talk has talk has been LeBron & Kobe, Yes
they have great records, but Kobe has Gasol & Odom.
I don`t care what anyone says they`re both underrated. Cleveland now has Mo Williams and Big Z, when heathly is pretty solid. They might have the deepest bench with Varejao,Szczerbiak,Gibson,Pavlovic.
Personally I think Dwight Howard just get some kudos here, but D Wade has to be the front runner.
Reply
3-03-2009 @ 6:40PM
Butch said...
Forgot, Lebron still doesn`t play good defense.
Reply
3-04-2009 @ 7:38AM
rjw6683 said...
Butch have you ever watched a Cavs game? Lebron is always sent to lock down the best offensive player on the opposing team when it counts. He does this playing on arguably the best defensive team in the NBA.