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Dwyane Wade Will Stay If Miami Wins

7/07/2009 6:00 AM ET By Matt Watson

    • Matt Watson
    • Matt Watson is FanHouse's NBA Editor
Dwyane WadeOf all the big-name stars eligible for free agency next summer, I've always considered Dwyane Wade the most likely to stay exactly where he is.

Unlike LeBron James in Cleveland, Chris Bosh in Toronto and Carlos Boozer in Salt Lake City, Wade already resides in one of the most popular destinations among visiting NBA players. And when push comes to shove and offers start pouring in, the Miami Heat will be able to offer the longest contract for the most money (especially when you consider Florida doesn't charge a state income tax).

But even if all signs point to the Heat holding onto their superstar, Wade is keeping his options open -- and putting pressure on Miami's front office to improve his supporting cast.

"I'm going to listen. I owe the Miami Heat that much. I'm going to listen to what they have to say and I'm going to think about it," Wade told The Associated Press. "But right now, the way I feel, I want to make sure that we're on track to where I want us to be on track to before I sign back."

It sounds reasonable enough, right? Unfortunately, Pat Riley has already indicated that he won't pursue any major changes until after Wade commits. From the Miami Herald last month:
"There can't be any major franchise changes made without his commitment," Riley said of Wade, who could become a free agent on July 1, 2010. "I'm going to do the best sales job I can. What we do going forward is going to be predicated on that."
If this turns into a staring contest, Riley better blink first or risk seeing his homegrown superstar find greener pastures elsewhere. Miami improved from 15 wins in 2007-08 to 43 wins in 2008-09, but it'll be nearly impossible to keep improving at the same rate without a significant influx of talent.

Making matters worse, the top three teams in the East last year have already made significant moves to bolster their chances of unseating the Lakers next season -- the Cavaliers traded for Shaquille O'Neal, the Celtics rolled the dice on Rasheed Wallace and the Magic acquired Vince Carter. Heck, even teams that didn't make the playoffs have made up ground on the Heat, with the Wizards adding Mike Miller, Randy Foye and an ostensibly healthy Gilbert Arenas, and the Raptors inking Hedo Turkoglu.

The Heat? So far, their most significant moves were extending qualifying offers to Jamario Moon and Joel Anthony. With Jermaine O'Neal exercising his $22.9 million player option, this team is pressed so close to the luxury tax that Riley doesn't anticipate making any free agent offers, even though he has the mid-level exception available.

Thanks to a 2007 trade with the Timberwolves, the Heat didn't have a pick in the first round, missing out on a chance to add a point guard like Ty Lawson, Jeff Teague or Eric Maynor -- all three of whom could have pressed Mario Chalmers for the starting job.

All things considered, it's a near certainty the Heat will open this coming season with virtually the same roster that was booted out of the first round of the playoffs. If Wade is comfortable treading water for a season, the Heat will have crazy cap space to make things happen in the summer of 2010, but it's hardly a given Miami makes the playoffs in the interim, let alone builds on last year's improvement.

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