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Well, That Didn't Take Long: Hawks Match Offer for Josh Smith

Sigh. The trainwreck is narrowly avoided.

Lang Whitaker for SLAM, who kind of, sort of knows these things, is reporting the Hawks will match the $58 million offer sheet tendered by the Memphis Grizzlies for forward Josh Smith. The team is "happy to have Josh return as a member of the Hawks." So there goes the Conley-Mayo-Gay-Smith-Gasol dream. Thanks for nothing, Atlanta. See you in two years when Smith demands a trade after the rest of the roster follows Josh Childress' lead and abandons ship.

Just kidding.

For Hawks fans, this is a reason to get off the bridge railing. The Grizzlies actually did them a favor, once they recovered from the mild heart attack, by giving the Hawks an offer sheet they could afford, significantly less than other free agents have signed this summer who are arguably inferior to Smith. So make sure to thank the next Grizzlies fan you meet, Atlantans. Without them, someone may have been able to reach the comparatively low threshold necessary to pry Smith away from the dysfunctional front office in the ATL. So the Hawks are .500, losing Childress to Greece, keeping Smith on the relative cheap. The Hawks needed this one, badly, and they got it.

We now return you to your regularly scheduled late summer boredom and Olympic coverage.

Carlos Arroyo Is Today's Relatively Mediocre NBA Player Bolting Overseas

"That's right, right this way, please step forward. Okay, forwards, please line up behind the Olympiakos sign, guards and centers, please line up behind the Maccabi Tel Aviv sign."

Carlos Arroyo has gotten in line.

Marc Stein, who may or may not be omniscient (seriously, who sits around asking "You know what I haven't checked on in a while? Whether Carlos Arroyo is looking at an Israeli basketball offer. I should look into that. "?), reports that the former Orlando point guard has accepted a three year deal with Maccabi Tel Aviv, which will net him $2.5 million next year. Not exactly the wallet buster Josh Childress got, but a nice chunk of change regardless for the 29 year old point guard that lost his gig last season. Arroyo started last season in contention for the starting spot for the Magic, then went to a backup role behind Jameer Nelson, before eventually not appearing hardly at all except to make sure Jameer Nelson didn't hurt himself by playing too much. When you lose your job to a guy who was heavily responsible for the Magic's self-destruct versus the Pistons and who the Magic had not interest in retaining, yeah, a change of scenery might be nice.

This is much more likely to be the last effect of the NBA Overseas Defection Watch List. Players that are better than the minimum, but not good enough for solid rotation or a significant chunk of change can head over and get paid. No word yet on whether the Israeli airlines plan on instituting a bulk discount for former Magic and Heat players.

After One Crazy Summer of NBA Free Agency, Vegas Shifts Their NBA Title Odds

Every summer, teams do everything they can to give their teams the best chance to win an NBA championship. Sometimes that means a big free agent signing, other times a cap-clearing move to set up future success. Sometimes teams are patient and let their assets develop.

Through it all, Vegas watches. And judges.

Immediately after the end of the NBA season, betting sites popped out their odds for winning the 2009 title, which we told you about before.

Since then we've had Elton Brand go east, Baron Davis go south, Josh Childress head to Greece, and the Cavs do absolutely nothing of note. As a result, Raptors blog Cuzoogle clues us into at least one sports book making significant movement on their lines.

The highlights?

The Sixers moved up considerably (+4000 from +6000) after acquiring Mr. Brand. The Heat move up a bit (+3000 from +4000) since, you know, they're not a MASH unit anymore, hopefully. And the Wizards move up (+4000 from +6000), despite essentially returning the same squad as last year.

On the downer side? Well, two you can probably guess, both the Clippers and Warriors' odds get worse. Cleveland drops as well, since they haven't really done much. The Hawks go from a longshot to a longer shot. The Blazers' odds have also dropped, strangely. The only conclusion I can reach is that of a hesitance by handicappers regarding the hype about the improvement the young Blazers will take in their first season with Greg Oden.

The Lakers and Celtics remain the favorites, though, at 3-1. The more things change, the more things stay the same.
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NBA Overseas Defection Watch List Update: Deng, Finley Say No, Gordon Next?

For those of you wondering, we ask that you keep an eye on that tongue of ours which is firmly tongue in cheek on this list we're compiled. It's not like we're waiting on LeBron James to say "Nah, thanks. I hear Moscow's lovely this time of year." But it's an interesting story, and really, it's the slow part of the offseason. Plus, it definitely looks like there's interest from the clubs overseas in at least exploring offers, even if they're not all being accepted with Josh Childress' zeal. Here's a little review.

Okay, so like we said, Machine (Sasha Vujacic) no want Europe dollar. He like America, with shoes and parties and McDonalds.

We find this morning over at the Sporting News that a European club "that's been in the news a lot lately" had its eyes on veteran Spurs shooter Michael Finley. Finley declined however, as it was "not something Michael wants to do at this point in his career" according to his agent. So mark another one off the list, but note the Euroclub approaching a veteran.

Lakers Keep Sasha Vujacic in the States

We can officially cross one name off of the NBA Overseas Defection Watch List (NBA-ODWL from now on, agreed?), and that's because the Lakers signed Sasha Vujacic to a deal this afternoon. The contract is reportedly for $15M over three years, not a bad raise for someone who took home just $1.76M last season.

That was before playing what will forever be known as the Josh Childress card though, which can be defined as "threatening my current team with the prospect of signing a deal to play in Europe if they don't make me an offer that I feel is appropriate." The Lakers' initial offer was for three years, $12M, but apparently the prospect of Sasha heading overseas as early as tonight to begin negotiating (he supposedly had a red-eye flight booked) lit a fire under the team to get a deal in place today.

This is good news for the Lakers, and good news for the league. Sasha's deal is by no means exorbitant for someone with his skill set, unlike the offer that the Lakers declined to match for Ronny Turiaf. And it's very possible that Sasha might have gotten a slightly better offer to play in Europe, but he accepted a fair one to stay and play in the NBA. I think we're likely to see the bulk of restricted free agents do the same thing that Sasha did: use Europe as a bargaining chip, but ultimately, sign with their current team ... as long as they receive a reasonable offer.

NBA Frankenstein: Josh Childress

Every Friday, FanHouse's NBA Frankenstein explains how various ballers were created. Introducing: the man solely responsible for dozens of absurdly anti-creative plays on the title of a 2002 chick flick, Josh Childress.



Liner notes: The Animal Review for ocelot; the Futurist Manifesto; Les fleurs du mal; an ultra-rare Living Legends cover of Brooks & Dunn's "My Maria"; Malt-o-Meal with an extra two tablespoons of butter, not margarine, BUTTER, and about two cloves, the spice, not the type of cigarette that gets you a little high when you're 13; Colin Powell's autobiography.

Photos by Getty Images. Assemblage by Tom Ziller.
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It's Officially Time to Start the 'NBA Overseas Defection Watch' List

"Oh, wow, Josh Childress jumped to Greece. That's wild. What a kooky thing to see. Man, what if this were to become a trend in a couple of years? How weird would that be? I mean, clearly it won't happen for a whi ... "

Oh.

Oh.

Oh.

For those of you playing our home game, that brings the list of players to have signed or be considering a jump overseas to: Josh Childress, Primoz Brezec, Carlos Delfino, Jorge Garbajosa, Carl Landry, Delonte West, and Sasha Vujacic. That's in the last week. Now clearly, it's not like there's going to be a mass exodus, this is still the NBA. Plus, as Al Horford asked Team USA about today, none of the megastars are going anywhere. But whereas after the Childress signing we asked, "could this be a trend over the next few years?", we now have to ask, "Is this a trend that's taking place now?"

It's clear that free agents, especially restricted free agents, are evaluating their options, and coming to the conclusion that Europe offers them a lot more opportunities than the NBA under the current CBA. The question now becomes how does the NBA respond? Increased agreements with international leagues for great fluidity back and forth? Higher reliance on the pitifully resourced D-League? Or the customary Stern brand of ignoring the problem until it's on fire in your yard? Is this a problem? This is a situation that's evolving faster than we can understand it, at least from where we're at right now.

Josh Childress Adapts to Greek Life Quickly

Any concerns about how new Olympiakos star Josh Childress would adjust to life in a foreign country should be squelched by this video posted by TrueHoop, which purportedly shows our protagonist mingling with his new neighbors in an Athens nightclub hours after signing his contract.



Childress will seemingly have no trouble making friends in Athens.

Atlanta's Sund Delivers a Simply Awful Response to Childress Going Greek

Content not just to punch Atlanta's fans in the groin area by letting Josh Childress get away, Hawks boss Rick Sund delivered what has to be one of the worst explanations in recent memory. (Kevin McHale's postscript on the Dwane Casey firing can't be beat, though.) From Hoopsworld:
"We were informed this morning by Josh Childress' representatives that he has signed with Olympiakos in Greece, and we want to wish him the absolute best with his future career in FIBA." [...]

The fact is Atlanta's offer was the best Childress could get - in the NBA. Atlanta chose not to compete with the offer from Olympiacos Piraeus. "I can only compete in the league I play in," justified Sund.
First: FIBA is the governing body of international basketball competition, not the European league or clubs. Childress and Olympiakos have nothing to do with FIBA. Team USA and Herr Kaman and Grover impersonators ... that's FIBA.

The "I can only compete in the league I play in" line is pure horse manure. Atlanta was in a better position than any other team in the world -- NBA or Euroleague -- to retain Childress's services. Basically, as long as you don't insult him, you'll keep him. The situation never gets this far if the Hawks had been willing to pay Childress real market value. (There are reports circulating that Childress received offers better than what Atlanta offered from contenders seeking sign-and-trade deals. Those offers become the market value. Atlanta dismissed them and did not increase their offer to that level. There's the insult.)

The only thing worse than Sund's lazy, laughable argument is watching the Hoopsworld writer (Jason Fleming) carry water for the Hawks. "Kudos to the Hawks for not bowing to pressure," he writes. Is that a joke?
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Childress Will Screw Atlanta Next Summer, Too

That Atlanta retains the domestic rights to new Euroleague star Josh Childress has been discussed. Basically, if Chills comes back to the States next summer, he is still a restricted free agent of the Hawks. If he signs an offer sheet with another NBA team, Atlanta can match. The situation remains the same for two seasons.

This is a boon to Atlanta, right? Maybe not. Carrying the rights to a restricted free agent comes with a burden: the associated cap hold. The cap hold is a mechanism of the NBA's collective bargaining agreement which prevents a team from subverting the salary cap by signing outside free agents before re-signing their own. It's pretty complicated, and Larry Coon explains it with more clarity than you'll ever find under my byline. If you need the details, read them there.

Here's what matters for Atlanta: Childress carries a cap hold of $14.5 million. Assuming the Hawks can manage to retain Josh Smith for about $10 million a year, Atlanta figures to be about $20 million under the salary cap next summer. (Mike Bibby and Zaza Pachulia are coming off the books.) That can buy a mighty fine free agent. But unless Atlanta renounces its rights to Childress -- meaning Chills would no longer be a restricted free agent, he could sign with any NBA team and the Hawks wouldn't have matching rights -- $14.5 million of that cap space will be locked up in that cap hold. That means Atlanta would have only roughly $5.5 million of space, and that's less than the mid-level exception. The Hawks would then have no cap space, and would be in the same boat as 85% of the NBA.

If the Hawks had overpaid Childress with, say, an $8 million annual contract, they would be able to go get a $12 million player in free agency next year ... and they'd have Childress's production! Instead, nothing and nothing. Good work, Sund.
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